5 Will Palmer Rd

Catskill, NY 12414

$389,000D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,224 sqft · Built 1991 · SingleFamily · Pending · 88 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,107/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,040
• Tax + insurance: −$583
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$443
• Net cashflow: $-958/mo
• Annual: $-11,499/yr
• Cap rate: 3.34%
• Cash-on-cash: -10.56%
• DSCR: 0.53
• 1% rule: 0.54%
• Cash to close: $108,920

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $389k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-958 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (43.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (45.8% below list).
• It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($366k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $211k (45.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#483 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Catskill Central School District (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #429 of 590 in NY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Catskill Elementary School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 574 students, 41% FRL); Catskill Middle School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #587 of 729 statewide, top 81%, 303 students, 45% FRL); Catskill Senior High School (math 87% / reading 87%, grade A, #311 of 1,100 statewide, top 30%, 400 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$67k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.