2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,030 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,065/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$503
Tax + insurance
−$96
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$241/mo
Annual
$2,897/yr
Cap rate
9.31%
Cash-on-cash
10.78%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$26,880
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $96k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $664 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#224 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Ozark City (town): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #99 of 129 in AL (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Carroll High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 638 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.3% in Ozark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-49KTT1DMKSSKD0
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29