4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,482 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,830/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$227
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$384
Net cashflow
$39/mo
Annual
$470/yr
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.75%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($470/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (18.7% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $183k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: E E Miller Elementary (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #817 of 1,410 statewide, top 58%, 625 students, 100% FRL); Anne Chesnutt Middle (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #317 of 475 statewide, top 68%, 443 students, 99% FRL); Seventy-First High (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,366 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 55% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 435 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4AKYZSA1BHZ09W
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29