3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,439 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,154/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$406
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$380/mo
Annual
$4,563/yr
Cap rate
12.18%
Cash-on-cash
21.03%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$21,700
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $536 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#24 in NE, #1,666 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
York Public Schools (town): math 55% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #55 of 111 in NE (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: York Elementary School (math 58% / reading 50%, grade C, #194 of 502 statewide, top 39%, 594 students, 50% FRL); York Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #41 of 128 statewide, top 32%, 315 students, 44% FRL); York High School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #107 of 261 statewide, top 52%, 522 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29 units permitted in York County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
York County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $78k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.2% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4B5Q352RHEBZYZ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29