1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,022 sqft ·
Built 1918
· Condo
· Active
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,570/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$105
HOA
−$725
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$330
Net cashflow
$-214/mo
Annual
$-2,563/yr
Cap rate
4.14%
Cash-on-cash
-7.69%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $81k (31.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-2.8%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Bunche Preparatory Academy (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 401 students, 93% FRL); Southeastern High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #659 of 713 statewide, top 97%, 644 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools at 90% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 46% of rent; built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $29k; list at $119k implies a 312% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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