6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,522 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,679/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,511
Tax + insurance
−$1,011
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,613
Net cashflow
$1,545/mo
Annual
$18,538/yr
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.89%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$187,460
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $670k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $386/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $670k).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($609k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $609k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Global Family Elementary (423 students, 98% FRL); United For Success Academy Middle (370 students, 96% FRL); Fremont High (1,146 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 68% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $285k; list at $670k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $187k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,679/mo this rent would consume 127% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 3603% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4BTJQX8VPKPX15
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29