3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,455/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$889
Tax + insurance
−$282
HOA
−$32
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$515
Net cashflow
$736/mo
Annual
$8,830/yr
Cap rate
11.50%
Cash-on-cash
18.61%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$47,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $736 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#122 in NY, #1,991 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Victor Central School District (suburban): math 56% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #222 of 590 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Victor Primary School (math 46% / reading 60%, grade C, #983 of 2,108 statewide, top 47%, 711 students, 25% FRL); Victor Intermediate School (math 40% / reading 58%, grade C-, #294 of 729 statewide, top 41%, 919 students, 26% FRL); Victor Senior High School (math 98% / reading 72%, grade A, #369 of 1,100 statewide, top 34%, 1,320 students, 26% FRL).
Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 2.6% in Victor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4C80G4F8TNYN1S
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29