3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,960/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$62
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$412
Net cashflow
$1,225/mo
Annual
$14,696/yr
Cap rate
35.69%
Cash-on-cash
104.97%
DSCR
5.67
1% rule
3.92%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#52 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime C-, commute F, cost of living F.
Thompson School District R-2J (suburban): math 28% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 86 in CO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Laurene Edmondson Elementary School (math 10% / reading 34%, grade F, #651 of 966 statewide, top 68%, 261 students, 56% FRL); Loveland High School (math 35% / reading 71%, grade C-, #88 of 381 statewide, top 23%, 1,525 students, 28% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 436 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 35.7% vs local median 2.9% in Loveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4CGW5FES9KB8PM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29