3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,242 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,182/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$492/mo
Annual
$5,907/yr
Cap rate
16.15%
Cash-on-cash
35.22%
DSCR
2.57
1% rule
1.97%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A, schools A-, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Lowville Academy & Central School District (town): math 51% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #345 of 590 in NY (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Lewis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lewis County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $50k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 3.5% in Lowville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4CSSZZDKD459RK
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29