3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,498 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,031/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$79
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$212/mo
Annual
$2,545/yr
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.10%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#442 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
Greene County (rural): math 2% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #129 of 129 in AL (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Eutaw Primary School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #457 of 627 statewide, top 74%, 321 students, 78% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 8% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Greene County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4D68KHB80T1BNP
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29