2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
806 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Condo
· Active
· 128 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,497/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$802
Tax + insurance
−$96
HOA
−$271
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$13/mo
Annual
$162/yr
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.38%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$42,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $153k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($162/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (2.2% below list).
It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#56 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Whitney Es (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #311 of 402 statewide, top 82%, 396 students, 100% FRL); Cortney Francis H Jhs (math 7% / reading 19%, grade F, #101 of 109 statewide, top 93%, 1,085 students, 100% FRL); Chaparral Hs (math 3% / reading 15%, grade F, #128 of 131 statewide, top 98%, 2,256 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Clark County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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