4479 N Cleveland Ave

Fresno, CA 93723

$498,200D-

5 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,623 sqft · Built 2026 · Land · Active · 82 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,269/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,613
• Tax + insurance: −$377
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$687
• Net cashflow: $-407/mo
• Annual: $-4,878/yr
• Cap rate: 5.31%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.50%
• DSCR: 0.84
• 1% rule: 0.66%
• Cash to close: $139,496

Investor read

• This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath land listed at $498k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-407 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $426k (14.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $327k (34.4% below list).
• It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($468k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $327k (34.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#469 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D+, crime F.
• Central Unified (urban): math 18% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #345 of 517 in CA (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Herndon-Barstow Elementary (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #973 of 1,571 statewide, top 73%, 696 students, 66% FRL); Rio Vista Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 804 students, 67% FRL); Central East High (math 20% / reading 41%, grade F, #710 of 1,170 statewide, top 61%, 2,061 students, 82% FRL).
• Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.7% in Fresno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.