3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,276 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Other
· Active
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$127
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$-15/mo
Annual
$-183/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.44%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-183/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (24.2% below list).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#207 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
Gackle-Streeter 56 (rural): math 20% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #133 of 169 in ND (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Stutsman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stutsman County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4DHG7B66RMY08D
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29