2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
776 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,084/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$278
Tax + insurance
−$111
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$468/mo
Annual
$5,618/yr
Cap rate
16.89%
Cash-on-cash
37.85%
DSCR
2.68
1% rule
2.05%
Cash to close
$14,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $51k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#88 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Sapulpa (suburban): math 23% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #129 of 270 in OK (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 193 units permitted in Creek County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 2.8% in Sapulpa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4ECQPA495PBJ4P
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29