3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,414 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,458/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,068
Tax + insurance
−$448
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$726
Net cashflow
$-784/mo
Annual
$-9,410/yr
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.74%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$163,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $585k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-784 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $446k (23.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $346k (40.9% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($550k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $346k (40.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $63k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $58k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#135 in FL, #2,039 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: H. L. Johnson Elementary School (math 70% / reading 69%, grade A-, #364 of 2,144 statewide, top 19%, 817 students, 40% FRL); Crestwood Community Middle (math 49% / reading 52%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 724 students, 50% FRL); Royal Palm Beach High School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 2,343 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $175k; list at $585k implies a 234% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$101k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4ESWJC7E782H21
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29