4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,720 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$147
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$165/mo
Annual
$1,978/yr
Cap rate
8.27%
Cash-on-cash
7.06%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#289 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Clarinda Community School District (town): math 61% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #249 of 289 in IA (top 86%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Page County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Page County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.4% in Clarinda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4EZBWR34G7SD65
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29