2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1939
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,055/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$153/mo
Annual
$1,838/yr
Cap rate
8.23%
Cash-on-cash
6.92%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#78 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Northumberland School District (rural): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #154 of 171 in NH (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Groveton Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #230 of 263 statewide, top 91%, 127 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $47k; list at $95k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4F9FKREC6QAWNT
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29