3499 Penny Ln

Country Squire Lakes, IN 47265

$155,500C-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Built 1995 · Manufactured · Pending · 100 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,470/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$815
• Tax + insurance: −$98
• HOA: −$27
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$309
• Net cashflow: $221/mo
• Annual: $2,647/yr
• Cap rate: 8.00%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.08%
• DSCR: 1.27
• 1% rule: 0.95%
• Cash to close: $43,540

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $156k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (5.5% below list).
• It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($142k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $142k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#566 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• Jennings County School Corporation (rural): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #194 of 301 in IN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Jennings County High School (math 26% / reading 62%, grade F, #189 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 1,184 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 84 units permitted in Jennings County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Jennings County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $14k; list at $156k implies a 972% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.0% in Country Squire Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.