3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,750/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$428
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$788
Net cashflow
$699/mo
Annual
$8,389/yr
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.56%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $340k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#35 in CT, #2,462 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
Regional School District 18 (rural): math 67% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #16 of 153 in CT (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Lyme-Old Lyme Middle School (math 58% / reading 72%, grade A-, #29 of 175 statewide, top 17%, 270 students, 13% FRL); Lyme-Old Lyme High School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade B+, #14 of 194 statewide, top 8%, 407 students, 12% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.0% in Niantic — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4FJY919T9YNAP8
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29