3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
984 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Townhouse
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,510/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$314
HOA
−$360
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$-267/mo
Annual
$-3,202/yr
Cap rate
4.16%
Cash-on-cash
-7.63%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-267 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (31.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#50 in MN, #1,308 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
Osseo Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #129 of 301 in MN (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
14 sale attempts since 34y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.9% in Brooklyn Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-4FVFZ58EZWK027
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29