8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,601 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 136 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,894/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,302
Tax + insurance
−$545
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,028
Net cashflow
$1,019/mo
Annual
$12,223/yr
Cap rate
9.26%
Cash-on-cash
10.59%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$122,920
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $439k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $340/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $439k).
It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($386k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $386k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $47k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $44k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
13 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $439k implies a 339% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $123k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$75k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4G03AHCZV3W4DZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29