2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,340 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,364/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$633
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$496
Net cashflow
$-207/mo
Annual
$-2,488/yr
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.23%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-207 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (13.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (14.0% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $236k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in CT, #915 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D.
West Haven School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #121 of 153 in CT (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Haven High School (math 23% / reading 39%, grade F, #135 of 194 statewide, top 70%, 1,780 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.3% in West Haven — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4GA9HW9431AXYJ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29