1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
941 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,001/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$324
HOA
−$938
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$630
Net cashflow
$-727/mo
Annual
$-8,728/yr
Cap rate
3.80%
Cash-on-cash
-8.91%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-727 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (36.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $300k (14.3% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (36.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#200 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, cost of living F.
Saddleback Valley Unified (suburban): math 51% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #67 of 517 in CA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $181k; list at $350k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 2.4% in Laguna Woods — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,001/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1572% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4GAJPE812R05EE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29