2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Active
· 570 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,556/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$477
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$601/mo
Annual
$7,217/yr
Cap rate
14.23%
Cash-on-cash
28.35%
DSCR
2.26
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$25,452
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $91k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $601 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $91k).
It's been on market 570 days — a 12% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $628 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A, schools A-; Watch: cost of living D, commute F.
Prescott Unified District (4466) (urban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #70 of 249 in AZ (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 709 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 2.4% in Prescott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 570 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4GFT838S44Z4ZQ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29