3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,001 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Other
· Active
· 135 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,559/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$127
HOA
−$467
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$271/mo
Annual
$3,253/yr
Cap rate
10.94%
Cash-on-cash
16.60%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
2.23%
Cash to close
$19,599
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Madison County (town): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #35 of 165 in KY (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 487 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 453 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4GGVWSECVBGKX4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29