2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$810/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$170
Net cashflow
$15/mo
Annual
$183/yr
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.66%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($183/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $81k (18.9% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St Marys City (town): math 64% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #221 of 656 in OH (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 121 units permitted in Auglaize County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Auglaize County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $100k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.0% in St. Marys — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 13% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4GHCN97T7VD327
· Data 21 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29