4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,041 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 146 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,659/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,883
Tax + insurance
−$598
HOA
−$133
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$558
Net cashflow
$-513/mo
Annual
$-6,157/yr
Cap rate
4.58%
Cash-on-cash
-6.13%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$100,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $359k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-513 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (20.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $266k (25.9% below list).
It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($316k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $266k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#962 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Mckinney ISD (suburban): math 54% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #72 of 826 in TX (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.6%/yr); 2895 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.0% in Weston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4GKWYS1BEJVHT2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29