3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,660/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$151
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$349
Net cashflow
$191/mo
Annual
$2,289/yr
Cap rate
7.53%
Cash-on-cash
4.42%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$51,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (10.2% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $166k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#324 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B; Watch: housing C-, crime F, amenities D-.
Zoned schools: Sheridan Elementary (math 8%, 486 students, 100% FRL); William J. Clark Middle (math 12%, 687 students, 100% FRL); Orangeburg Wilkinson High (math 22%, 1,073 students, 100% FRL).
Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $15k; list at $185k implies a 1133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.2% in Orangeburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4GSMX35XS8X4G0
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29