4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,263 sqft ·
Built 1923
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 749 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,322/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$74
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$278
Net cashflow
$498/mo
Annual
$5,978/yr
Cap rate
12.93%
Cash-on-cash
23.72%
DSCR
2.06
1% rule
1.47%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $498 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 749 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#74 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Woodland Park Magnet (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #597 of 646 statewide, top 95%, 519 students, 88% FRL); Amite Westside Middle Magnet (math 6% / reading 17%, grade F, #194 of 218 statewide, top 89%, 285 students, 90% FRL); Amite High Magnet (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #230 of 265 statewide, top 88%, 445 students, 85% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Tangipahoa Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
15 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $90k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 749 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4GVA3A38MQA584
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29