5 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,558 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1074 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,477/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$209
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$591/mo
Annual
$7,093/yr
Cap rate
16.44%
Cash-on-cash
36.24%
DSCR
2.61
1% rule
2.11%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 1074 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#325 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Ironwood Area Schools Of Gogebic County (town): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #361 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Gogebic County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gogebic County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 5.4% in Ironwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 1074 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4H035H8MMMKVQD
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29