3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,226 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,174/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$247
Net cashflow
$479/mo
Annual
$5,743/yr
Cap rate
15.13%
Cash-on-cash
31.55%
DSCR
2.40
1% rule
1.81%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#462 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Monroe County (rural): math 7% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #112 of 129 in AL (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Monroe County High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 322 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 62% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 5% at this address vs 17% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Monroe County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen countertops
— Exposed brick
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Exposed brick
Major: exterior siding
— Exposed brick
Major: flooring
— Exposed brick
Major: interior walls/paint
— Exposed brick
Major: appliances
— Exposed brick
CashFlowRE · CFR-4H1M0R8SFGEPY4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29