12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,950 sqft ·
Built 1931
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 194 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$28,360/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,922
Tax + insurance
−$2,706
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,956
Net cashflow
$12,776/mo
Annual
$153,309/yr
Cap rate
17.97%
Cash-on-cash
41.70%
DSCR
2.86
1% rule
2.15%
Cash to close
$369,600
Investor read
This is a 6 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.32M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $13k ($153k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($28k rent vs $1.32M).
It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.16M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.16M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $900k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $370k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$76k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $28,360/mo this rent would consume 352% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 2407% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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