2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Manufactured
· Under Contract
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,024/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$76
HOA
−$939
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$425
Net cashflow
$322/mo
Annual
$3,860/yr
Cap rate
14.01%
Cash-on-cash
27.57%
DSCR
2.23
1% rule
4.05%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#34 in CT, #2,393 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A-, employment B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living C-, commute D+.
Clinton School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #76 of 153 in CT (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Lewin G. Joel Jr. School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #213 of 553 statewide, top 41%, 549 students, 40% FRL); The Morgan School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #52 of 194 statewide, top 31%, 524 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 16% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 46% of rent.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 2.5% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4HFA8J92Y22AFD
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29