3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
576 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Manufactured
· Active
· 303 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,473/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$77
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$929/mo
Annual
$11,151/yr
Cap rate
43.52%
Cash-on-cash
132.97%
DSCR
6.92
1% rule
4.92%
Cash to close
$8,386
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $929 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($208 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#115 in VT) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
Mohawk Trail (rural): math 25% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #235 of 302 in MA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: 89 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (45%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4HMCHAABFC2KYX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29