2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,182 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Pending
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,727/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$86
HOA
−$602
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$-84/mo
Annual
$-1,006/yr
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.48%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (10.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in FL, #1,095 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities D-.
Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Lake Orienta Elementary School (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D+, #1,070 of 2,144 statewide, top 51%, 620 students, 73% FRL); Milwee Middle School (math 55% / reading 56%, grade B-, #178 of 571 statewide, top 31%, 1,426 students, 64% FRL); Lyman High School (math 36% / reading 50%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,084 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 38% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $34k; list at $145k implies a 326% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.3% in Altamonte Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-4HZF0S6H6XAGV3
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29