5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,181 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,521/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,389
Tax + insurance
−$387
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$529
Net cashflow
$216/mo
Annual
$2,594/yr
Cap rate
7.27%
Cash-on-cash
3.50%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$74,172
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (4.8% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $252k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#92 in PA, #667 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
Easton Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #364 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Paxinosa El Sch (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,346 of 1,518 statewide, top 89%, 579 students, 100% FRL); Easton Area Ms (math 16% / reading 43%, grade F, #385 of 512 statewide, top 76%, 1,874 students, 100% FRL); Easton Area Hs (math 49% / reading 44%, grade D-, #173 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 2,844 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 40% district-wide (58 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.2% in Easton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4J1BYS5ZCA50TX
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29