2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,206 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Other
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,561/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$221
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$328
Net cashflow
$-430/mo
Annual
$-5,161/yr
Cap rate
4.42%
Cash-on-cash
-6.70%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
0.57%
Cash to close
$76,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-430 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (27.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (43.2% below list).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $156k (43.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#647 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Littlestown Area SD (town): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #249 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $275k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.1% in Mount Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4J8AFA45TSFZDJ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29