4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,998 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Manufactured
· Active
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,510/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$121/mo
Annual
$1,454/yr
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.89%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (16.1% below list).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $151k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#104 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
Eureka Springs School District (rural): math 37% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #61 of 238 in AR (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 372 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.2% in Holiday Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4K5R4T02AE6SQX
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29