2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,012 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$121/mo
Annual
$1,457/yr
Cap rate
7.75%
Cash-on-cash
5.20%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#367 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Hardin County (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #47 of 165 in KY (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.5% in Radcliff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Paint appears faded in some areas
Minor: Flooring
— Tile flooring in need of cleaning
Minor: Kitchen appliances
— Basic appliances, may need updating
CashFlowRE · CFR-4KHWP31ZHK53PC
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29