2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,027 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,463/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$258
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$307
Net cashflow
$84/mo
Annual
$1,011/yr
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.33%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (5.6% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in AL, #827 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Vestavia Hills City (suburban): math 63% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #2 of 129 in AL (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: West Elementary (math 64% / reading 86%, grade A, #14 of 627 statewide, top 2%, 745 students, 15% FRL); Pizitz Middle School (math 63% / reading 87%, grade A, #1 of 257 statewide, top 0%, 1,158 students, 11% FRL); Vestavia Hills High School (math 71% / reading 69%, grade B+, #3 of 305 statewide, top 1%, 1,578 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.5% in Vestavia Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4KZZTZ58J047H9
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29