20 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,490 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,955/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$452
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,251
Net cashflow
$2,548/mo
Annual
$30,580/yr
Cap rate
15.70%
Cash-on-cash
33.61%
DSCR
2.50
1% rule
1.83%
Cash to close
$90,972
Investor read
This is a 4 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $637/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $325k).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $305k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Elliott Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #346 of 502 statewide, top 74%, 370 students, 0% FRL); Lefler Middle School (math 46% / reading 45%, grade D+, #63 of 128 statewide, top 50%, 613 students, 61% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #184 of 261 statewide, top 76%, 2,196 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $245k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,955/mo this rent would consume 108% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 622% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29