2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
955 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Condo
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,458/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$350
HOA
−$1,082
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$516
Net cashflow
$-591/mo
Annual
$-7,093/yr
Cap rate
2.92%
Cash-on-cash
-12.06%
DSCR
0.46
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-591 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#132 in NY, #2,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Peekskill City School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #670 of 755 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hillcrest School (math 24% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,684 of 2,108 statewide, top 80%, 560 students, 61% FRL); Peekskill Middle School (math 75% / reading 70%, grade A, #75 of 729 statewide, top 10%, 794 students, 63% FRL); Peekskill High School (math 79% / reading 44%, grade B-, #841 of 1,100 statewide, top 76%, 1,017 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Peekskill City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 117 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
10 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $122k; list at $210k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4MT31RASWA6087
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29