2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
936 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Condo
· Coming Soon
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,837/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$248
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$386
Net cashflow
$-41/mo
Annual
$-489/yr
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.92%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-489/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (3.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (3.3% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $183k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in MN, #106 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Oxbow Creek Elementary (math 71% / reading 65%, grade B+, #96 of 857 statewide, top 11%, 1,028 students, 31% FRL); Jackson Middle (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D, #113 of 258 statewide, top 45%, 1,981 students, 43% FRL); Champlin Park High School (math 48% / reading 63%, grade C, #80 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 2,983 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 34y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.2% in Champlin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4NN51F4J7EVFHW
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29