2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,190 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Condo
· Active
· 194 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,513/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,022
Tax + insurance
−$466
HOA
−$595
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$528
Net cashflow
$-98/mo
Annual
$-1,173/yr
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.69%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$54,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (8.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#180 in FL, #2,806 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Nova Blanche Forman Elementary (math 35% / reading 55%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,144 statewide, top 60%, 769 students, 72% FRL); Nova Middle School (math 44% / reading 53%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,284 students, 68% FRL); South Broward High School (math 24% / reading 49%, grade F, #351 of 667 statewide, top 54%, 2,397 students, 59% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in Dania Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,513/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1999% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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