4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,051 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 253 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,555/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,932
Tax + insurance
−$399
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$537
Net cashflow
$-313/mo
Annual
$-3,754/yr
Cap rate
5.27%
Cash-on-cash
-3.64%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$103,180
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $368k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-313 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $313k (15.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (30.7% below list).
It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($324k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $256k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#217 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Walton County (rural): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #31 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bay Creek Elementary School (math 43% / reading 39%, grade F, #411 of 1,228 statewide, top 34%, 715 students, 63% FRL); Loganville Middle School (math 46% / reading 48%, grade D+, #89 of 470 statewide, top 20%, 1,320 students, 39% FRL); Loganville High School (math 51% / reading 47%, grade D, #33 of 424 statewide, top 8%, 1,808 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 858 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 677 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walton County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
36 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.4% in Between — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4P5AK5DGC7FJFT
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29