5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,674 sqft ·
Built 1915
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 82 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,879/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$339
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$815
Net cashflow
$1,152/mo
Annual
$13,824/yr
Cap rate
10.90%
Cash-on-cash
16.46%
DSCR
1.73
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $576/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $282k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#37 in MO, #3,184 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
Webster Groves (suburban): math 56% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #7 of 324 in MO (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $128k; list at $300k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.8% in Webster Groves — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4P61A1FBT77R9H
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29