2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,383/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$17
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$177/mo
Annual
$2,128/yr
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.85%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#245 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
Cumberland County (rural): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #59 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 447 active listings in the ZIP; 114 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cumberland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $130k implies a 420% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4P8G847HJ004P9
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29