2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,201 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Condo
· Pending
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,480/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$218
HOA
−$300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$311
Net cashflow
$-187/mo
Annual
$-2,246/yr
Cap rate
4.89%
Cash-on-cash
-5.02%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-187 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (20.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (7.5% below list).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#11 in MO, #1,297 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Blue Springs R-IV (suburban): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #17 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.2% in Blue Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29