2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
928 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Manufactured
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$883/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$186
Net cashflow
$422/mo
Annual
$5,067/yr
Cap rate
18.99%
Cash-on-cash
45.35%
DSCR
3.02
1% rule
2.21%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($883 rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#225 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
Breitung Township School District (town): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #130 of 540 in MI (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dickinson County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 3.8% in Iron Mountain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4Q7YWD24V70BR9
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29