2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
841 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$844/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$68
Tax + insurance
−$37
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$562/mo
Annual
$6,745/yr
Cap rate
58.58%
Cash-on-cash
186.74%
DSCR
9.31
1% rule
6.54%
Cash to close
$3,612
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $13k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($844 rent vs $13k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $13k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $89 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $387 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#140 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Wayne County School District (town): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #79 of 130 in MS (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Wayne County High School (math 26% / reading 22%, grade F, #111 of 197 statewide, top 57%, 840 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 76% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-4QE00213FTN4HH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29